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Onchain Economics

Thesis··1 min read

The economic impact of tokenization: how RWAs will reshape global finance

Understand the macroeconomic implications of widespread asset tokenization: capital market efficiency, financial inclusion, industry disruption, and the infrastructure transition ahead.

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Widespread tokenization of real world assets implies more than new crypto products. It suggests a fundamental rebuild of financial infrastructure: programmable assets, atomic settlement, transparent ownership, and reduced intermediation. The economic implications include capital market efficiency gains, financial inclusion expansion, new business models for asset ownership, and potential disruption to existing financial intermediaries. The question is not whether tokenization offers benefits, but which assets and markets will adopt it quickly enough to matter.

Key takeaways

  • BlackRock's Larry Fink: tokenization is 'the next generation for markets'
  • Infrastructure changes: programmable ownership, instant settlement, transparent ledgers, 24/7 operation
  • McKinsey estimate: $20B+ annual savings possible in post-trade processing alone
  • Financial inclusion: fractionalization could expand access to assets requiring $250K+ minimums today
  • Disintermediation pressure on transfer agents, clearinghouses, and traditional custodians

Beyond the crypto frame

Most RWA discussion occurs within crypto industry context. Yields for DeFi users. New products for token traders. Infrastructure plays for blockchain ecosystems.

This framing underestimates what is actually happening.

Asset tokenization represents infrastructure modernization for global capital markets. The underlying technology could process trillions in traditional financial activity regardless of whether the participants consider themselves part of crypto.

BlackRock's CEO Larry Fink called tokenization the next generation for markets. This assessment does not depend on Bitcoin prices or DeFi adoption rates. It reflects evaluation of what blockchain infrastructure could enable for traditional financial activity.

The infrastructure argument

Consider what tokenization actually changes about asset mechanics.

Programmable ownership. Traditional securities are entries in databases managed by transfer agents, custodians, and depositories. Changing ownership requires messages between these parties, reconciliation, and eventual settlement. Tokenized securities execute ownership transfers atomically through smart contracts. The logic can embed compliance checks, automatic distributions, and conditional transfers.

Unified settlement. Traditional markets separate trading from settlement. You buy a stock today but receive the shares in two days (T+2). During that window, counterparty risk exists and capital remains tied up. Blockchain settlement can be instant and atomic: the trade and the settlement are the same transaction.

Transparent ledgers. Traditional ownership records are scattered across custodians, transfer agents, and depositories. Assembling a complete picture of who owns what requires requesting information from multiple parties. Blockchain provides a single, transparent record of all ownership and transactions.

24/7 operation. Traditional markets have trading hours. Holidays. Settlement calendars. Blockchain markets operate continuously. An asset tokenized on a public blockchain can trade at 3 AM on Christmas if buyers and sellers want to transact.

Capital market efficiency implications

These infrastructure changes have concrete economic implications.

Reduced friction costs. McKinsey estimated that moving traditional securities to blockchain infrastructure could save $20 billion annually in post-trade processing costs alone. Eliminating reconciliation, reducing settlement failures, and automating corporate actions compound across the volume of global financial activity.

Shortened settlement cycles. Instant settlement frees capital currently locked during settlement windows. For broker-dealers, this could reduce capital requirements significantly. For investors, it eliminates settlement risk and enables faster rebalancing.

Enhanced market making. Transparent, real-time ledgers enable more efficient pricing and tighter spreads. Market makers can assess positions and counterparty risk more accurately when ownership is immediately verifiable.

Financial inclusion possibilities

Traditional finance excludes much of the world population from many asset classes.

Geographic barriers prevent investors in some countries from accessing assets in others. Minimum investment requirements price out smaller investors from private markets. Intermediary requirements add costs that make small transactions uneconomic.

Tokenization addresses some of these barriers.

A fractionalized tokenized real estate position can accept investments of $100 rather than $100,000. Geographic restrictions become harder to enforce when assets trade on permissionless networks. Automated compliance reduces per-transaction overhead, making smaller transactions viable.

The scale of potential inclusion is substantial. Billions of people have smartphones but lack access to investment opportunities beyond basic savings accounts. Tokenized access to diversified asset portfolios could meaningfully expand wealth-building opportunities.

Whether this potential materializes depends on regulatory frameworks, user interface development, and continued infrastructure maturation. The technical capability exists today.

Disintermediation and industry impact

If tokenization delivers on its efficiency promises, existing intermediaries face pressure.

Transfer agents, whose function is maintaining ownership records, could see their role substantially automated. Clearinghouses, which manage settlement and counterparty risk, become less necessary when settlement is atomic. Custodians must demonstrate value beyond simply holding assets, since tokenized assets self-custody more easily than traditional securities.

Not all intermediation disappears. Someone must still custody physical assets for tokenized commodities and real estate. Compliance and regulatory reporting remain necessary. Asset selection and portfolio management continue requiring human judgment.

But the specific activities that intermediaries perform today will shift. Those who adapt to providing value in a tokenized ecosystem will thrive. Those who resist may face margin compression and market share loss.

The long-term thesis

The strongest argument for eventual widespread tokenization is infrastructure competition.

Financial systems that process transactions faster, at lower cost, with greater transparency, tend to outcompete slower, more expensive, less transparent alternatives. This dynamic has driven previous infrastructure transitions: electronic trading replacing floor trading, dematerialization replacing physical certificates, digital payments replacing cash.

Tokenization offers improvements on multiple dimensions simultaneously. If regulatory and technical hurdles are overcome, the economic logic favoring adoption is substantial.

The timeline remains uncertain. Optimistic projections suggesting trillions in tokenized assets by 2030 may prove premature. But the directional bet that blockchain will process meaningful volumes of traditional financial activity seems reasonably sound.

For observers of this transition, the key question is which assets, which jurisdictions, and which infrastructure providers will move first. Early positioning in an eventual massive market creates opportunities. Waiting too long to engage risks missing the transition entirely.

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FAQ

How big could the tokenized asset market become?

Industry projections for 2030 range from $4 trillion to $16 trillion. Boston Consulting Group projected $16 trillion in tokenized illiquid assets by 2030. These projections should be viewed skeptically, but directional growth toward trillions seems plausible given efficiency advantages.

What industries will tokenization disrupt?

Transfer agents, clearinghouses, and traditional custodians face the most direct pressure. Their core functions (record-keeping, settlement, asset holding) can be automated or eliminated through tokenization. Those who adapt will survive; those who resist face decline.

Why do institutions like BlackRock care about tokenization?

Tokenization offers efficiency gains in settlement, custody, and distribution. BlackRock's BUIDL fund demonstrates that major asset managers see blockchain as infrastructure for traditional finance, not just a speculative asset class. Efficiency advantages matter at institutional scale.

What barriers slow tokenization adoption?

Key barriers include: regulatory uncertainty across jurisdictions, untested legal enforceability of token holder rights, integration challenges with existing systems, and institutional inertia. Most will wait for clearer rules before significant adoption.

Will tokenization help financial inclusion?

Potentially significant. Fractionalization can lower minimums from $250,000 to $100 for private assets. Permissionless networks reduce geographic barriers. Automated compliance lowers per-transaction costs. Whether this potential materializes depends on regulation and interface development.

Cite this definition

The tokenization thesis holds that blockchain-based asset infrastructure will process significant volumes of traditional financial activity due to efficiency advantages: programmable ownership, instant settlement, transparent ledgers, and 24/7 operation. McKinsey estimates $20B+ annual savings in post-trade processing alone. Disintermediation pressure will affect transfer agents, clearinghouses, and custodians. The timeline is uncertain, but the directional bet on blockchain processing meaningful financial volumes appears sound.

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